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2024-12-14 05:33:16

Tony Dellier, leader of the French Green Party: Choosing Bayrou as the new French Prime Minister is a "bad drama".Chen Guo, China Securities: The 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in all directions, and the Central Economic Work Conference will be held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. Chen Guo, chief strategy officer of China Securities, said that the meeting had seven highlights, including clarifying the growth target and fiscal and monetary policy measures, expanding domestic demand in all directions as the top priority of the policy, focusing on "AI+" in science and technology, focusing on implementation of reform measures, paying attention to coping with external shocks in opening up, strengthening the expression of real estate policies, and increasing efforts to improve people's livelihood. Chen Guo said that further RRR cuts and interest rate cuts from the end of 2024 to 2025 are worth looking forward to, and the easing of the liquidity environment has become a market consensus. However, this does not mean that liquidity is rampant, because the growth of money supply in the scale of social financing still continues the requirement of matching the expected target of the overall price level of economic growth. Chen Guo believes that the 2025 policy will focus on expanding domestic demand and AI+ in an all-round way, and the strength and direction of the policy are in line with expectations. With the support of policy expectations and liquidity, it is expected that the market will continue to show the characteristics of volatility. From the perspective of investment strategy, Chen Guo suggested focusing on non-bank finance, real estate chain, consumer electronics, machinery, construction, building materials, steel, social services, catering chain and other sectors. In terms of theme, it is suggested to pay attention to investment opportunities such as "duality" and "two innovations", supply-side optimization, new quality productivity, market value management of state-owned enterprises and CSI A500 index.China Merchants Securities: Investment Guidelines of the Central Economic Work Conference for A-shares next year From these four aspects, China Merchants Securities said that the investment guidelines of the Central Economic Work Conference for A-shares next year mainly include the following aspects: 1) From a macro perspective, the support intensity of policies for various economic work is expected to exceed market expectations. Specifically, the fiscal policy orientation is positive, deficit ratio will arrange or keep it above 3%, the issuance scale of ultra-long-term special government bonds will be further expanded, and the scale and investment field of special bonds are expected to be further extended; Monetary policy mentioned "timely lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates", and the goal of liquidity policy changed from balance to loose tendency, which will bring room for valuation improvement of A shares. 2) From the perspective of expanding domestic demand, consumption will become the main line of investment next year: the meeting will continue the deployment of the Politburo meeting in December, and in the order of writing, consumption will still be placed at the top of next year's key tasks. In terms of specific measures, it is planned to boost consumption mainly through two aspects. First, increase the income of residents; The second is to increase consumption scenarios. 3) Focus on scientific and technological innovation to lead the development of new quality productive forces, and grasp two main lines: this meeting focused on "carrying out' artificial intelligence+'action and cultivating future industries". Artificial intelligence has appeared in the draft of the Central Economic Work Conference for three consecutive years. Future industries have also appeared in the draft of the Central Economic Work Conference for two consecutive years. Therefore, it is recommended to focus on artificial intelligence+and future industries. 4) Focus on "comprehensive improvement of' involution' competition": In terms of "involution" competition, photovoltaic industry is the representative in emerging industries. Recently, in addition to self-regulatory measures such as industry association initiatives, the photovoltaic export tax rebate rate has been lowered and industry norms have been updated to further control new production capacity. The policy is further introduced to curb the "involution" competition of photovoltaics. It is recommended to pay attention to photovoltaic, lithium battery and other industries.


Musk: Grok can now generate four images at the same time and render them step by step.Fat Donglai is working out stricter measures to solve the problem of purchasing, including real-name purchase and regular quantitative purchase system. On December 13th, Yu Donglai issued a document saying: Fat Donglai is working out stricter and more effective measures! In the future, including real-name purchase and regular quantitative purchase system! Discuss and formulate relevant systems to control purchasing behavior and lift the membership of permanent fat east!Goldman Sachs lowered the UK's GDP growth forecast for 2024 from the previous 1.2% to 1.0%.


Zhu Haoxiang, the Chinese director of the US SEC, resigned. The US Securities and Exchange Commission recently announced that Zhu Haoxiang, the director of the Trading and Marketing Department, will leave on December 10, 2024, and he will return to the Si Long School of Management at MIT to continue to serve as an associate professor of finance. As one of the important members of Gary Gensler, the current chairman of the SEC, Zhu Haoxiang was appointed by the SEC in December 2021. (Caixin. com)Publicity Department of the Communist Party of China Publishing Bureau: The leading plan of online publishing technology innovation is being formulated to promote the game industry to play a greater role in service technology innovation. Yang Fang, deputy director of Publicity Department of the Communist Party of China Publishing Bureau, said at the 2024 China Game Industry Annual Conference that Publicity Department of the Communist Party of China Publishing Bureau is currently working with relevant ministries to jointly formulate the leading plan of online publishing technology innovation to promote the game industry to play a greater role in service technology innovation. In addition, Yang Fang introduced that next year, Publicity Department of the Communist Party of China Publishing Bureau will focus on the online game boutique publishing project, and guide game enterprises to create more classic works that are deeply rooted in people's hearts and have been passed down for a long time.The implementation of personal pension system will bring multiple impacts. According to CCTV news, the implementation of personal pension system will have a far-reaching impact on China's old-age security system. This system aims to improve the multi-level old-age security system, encourage individuals to participate in old-age savings, and improve the level of life security after retirement. In addition, the establishment of individual pension accounts will provide new business growth points for financial institutions and help the development of the capital market. On the whole, this move is expected to promote the transformation of the concept of social pension and promote the sustainable development of the pension service industry.

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